Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.030396 0.032707 0.035016 0.037494 0.040075 0.042679 0.045504
2025-08-24 0.025793 0.029427 0.033181 0.037334 0.041784 0.046396 0.051521
2025-08-31 0.022883 0.027249 0.031868 0.037086 0.042784 0.048791 0.055572
2025-09-07 0.020717 0.025616 0.030906 0.036988 0.043737 0.050949 0.059191
2025-09-14 0.018643 0.023902 0.029692 0.036460 0.044077 0.052316 0.061834
2025-09-21 0.016872 0.022399 0.028597 0.035953 0.044340 0.053512 0.064208
2025-09-28 0.015038 0.020705 0.027181 0.034986 0.043999 0.053961 0.065685
2025-10-05 0.014393 0.020369 0.027297 0.035739 0.045579 0.056537 0.069517
2025-10-12 0.013584 0.019781 0.027071 0.036057 0.046627 0.058486 0.072620
2025-10-19 0.012572 0.018887 0.026433 0.035846 0.047026 0.059666 0.074827
2025-10-26 0.012194 0.018760 0.026702 0.036696 0.048651 0.062241 0.078619
2025-11-02 0.011516 0.018216 0.026429 0.036870 0.049459 0.063860 0.081303
2025-11-09 0.010602 0.017366 0.025800 0.036657 0.049873 0.065103 0.083663
2025-11-16 0.009786 0.016615 0.025281 0.036572 0.050448 0.066553 0.086294
2025-11-23 0.008971 0.015814 0.024655 0.036320 0.050789 0.067703 0.088553
2025-11-30 0.008287 0.015153 0.024177 0.036224 0.051298 0.069034 0.091011
2025-12-07 0.007489 0.014284 0.023388 0.035703 0.051257 0.069690 0.092657
2025-12-14 0.006764 0.013473 0.022640 0.035202 0.051218 0.070326 0.094263
2025-12-21 0.005937 0.012455 0.021570 0.034247 0.050580 0.070216 0.094960
2025-12-28 0.005747 0.012395 0.021804 0.034991 0.052071 0.072686 0.098738
2026-01-04 0.005430 0.012115 0.021720 0.035304 0.053012 0.074481 0.101707
2026-01-11 0.004971 0.011582 0.021257 0.035096 0.053277 0.075440 0.103664
2026-01-18 0.004857 0.011601 0.021577 0.035935 0.054879 0.078042 0.107608